Effectiveness and durability of mRNA-1273 BA.4/BA.5 bivalent vaccine (mRNA-1273.222) against SARS-CoV-2 BA.4/BA.5 and XBB sublineages.

Emerging SARS-CoV-2 sublineages continue to cause serious COVID-19 disease, but most individuals have not received any COVID-19 vaccine for >1 year. Assessment of long-term effectiveness of bivalent COVID-19 vaccines against circulating sublineages is important to inform the potential need for vaccination with updated vaccines. In this test-negative study at Kaiser Permanente Southern California, sequencing-confirmed BA.4/BA.5- or XBB-related SARS-CoV-2-positive cases (September 1, 2022 to June 30, 2023), were matched 1:3 to SARS-CoV-2-negative controls. We assessed mRNA-1273 bivalent relative (rVE) and absolute vaccine effectiveness (VE) compared to ≥2 or 0 doses of original monovalent vaccine, respectively. The rVE analysis included 20,966 cases and 62,898 controls. rVE (95%CI) against BA.4/BA.5 at 14-60 days and 121-180 days was 52.7% (46.9-57.8%) and 35.5% (-2.8-59.5%) for infection, and 59.3% (49.7-67.0%) and 33.2% (-28.2-68.0%) for Emergency Department/Urgent Care (ED/UC) encounters. For BA.4/BA.5-related hospitalizations, rVE was 71.3% (44.9-85.1%) and 52.0% (-1.2-77.3%) at 14-60 days and 61-120 days, respectively. rVE against XBB at 14-60 days and 121-180 days was 48.8% (33.4-60.7%) and -3.9% (-18.1-11.3%) for infection, 70.7% (52.4-82.0%) and 15.7% (-6.0-33.2%) for ED/UC encounters, and 87.9% (43.8-97.4%) and 57.1% (17.0-77.8%) for hospitalization. VE and subgroup analyses (age, immunocompromised status, previous SARS-CoV-2 infection) results were similar to rVE analyses. rVE of mRNA-1273 bivalent vaccine against BA.4/BA.5 and XBB infections, ED/UC encounters, and hospitalizations waned over time. Periodic revaccination with vaccines targeting emerging variants may be important in reducing COVID-19 morbidity and mortality.

Pre-frailty after blood or marrow transplantation and the risk of subsequent mortality.

We examined the prevalence, risk factors, and association between pre-frailty and subsequent mortality after blood or marrow transplantation (BMT). Study participants were drawn from the BMT Survivor Study (BMTSS) and included 3346 individuals who underwent BMT between 1974 and 2014 at one of three transplant centers and survived ≥2 years post-BMT. Participants completed the BMTSS survey at a median of 9 years from BMT and were followed for subsequent mortality for a median of 5 years after survey completion. Closest-age and same-sex biological siblings also completed the survey. Previously published self-reported indices (exhaustion, weakness, low energy expenditure, slowness, unintentional weight loss) classified participants as non-frail (0-1 indices) or pre-frail (2 indices). National Death Index was used to determine vital status and cause of death. Overall, 626 (18.7%) BMT survivors were pre-frail. BMT survivors had a 3.2-fold higher odds of being pre-frail (95% CI = 1.9-5.3) compared to siblings. Compared to non-frail survivors, pre-frail survivors had higher hazards of all-cause mortality (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 1.6, 95% CI = 1.4-2.0). Female sex, pre-BMT radiation, smoking, lack of exercise, anxiety, and severe/life-threatening chronic health conditions were associated with pre-frailty. The novel association between pre-frailty and subsequent mortality provides evidence for interventions as pre-frail individuals may transition back to their robust state.

Latent tuberculosis infection testing practices in a large U.S. integrated healthcare system.

PURPOSE: Tuberculosis (TB) is a public health threat with >80% of active TB in the U.S. occurring due to reactivation of latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI). We may be under-screening those with high risk for LTBI and over-testing those at lower risk. A better understanding of gaps in current LTBI testing practices in relation to LTBI test positivity is needed. METHODS: This study, conducted between 01/01/2008 and 12/31/2019 at Kaiser Permanente Southern California, included individuals ≥18 years of age without a history of active TB. We examined factors associated with LTBI testing and LTBI positivity. RESULTS: Among 3,816,884 adults (52% female, 37% White, 37% Hispanic, mean age 43.5 years [S.D. 16.1]), 706,367 (19%) were tested for LTBI, among whom 60,393 (9%) had ≥1 positive result. Among 1,211,971 individuals meeting ≥1 screening criteria for LTBI, 210,025 (17%) were tested for LTBI. Factors associated with higher adjusted odds (aOR) of testing positive included male sex [aOR: 1.32, 95% CI:1.30-1.35], Asian/Pacific Islander [2.78, 2.68-2.88], current smoking [1.24, 1.20-1.28], diabetes [1.13, 1.09-1.16], hepatitis B [1.45, 1.34-1.57], hepatitis C [1.54, 1.44-1.66], and birth in a country with an elevated TB rate [3.40, 3.31-3.49]). Despite being risk factors for testing positive for LTBI, none of these factors were associated with higher odds of LTBI testing. CONCLUSIONS: Current LTBI testing practices may be missing individuals at high risk of LTBI. Additional work is needed to refine and implement screening guidelines that appropriately target testing for those at highest risk for LTBI.

Factors associated with uptake of bivalent mRNA COVID-19 vaccines in a large US health care system.

BACKGROUND: Bivalent mRNA COVID-19 vaccines were developed to provide protection against the original SARS-CoV-2 strain and Omicron BA.4/BA.5 variants, but uptake in the United States has been low. Sociodemographic disparities in COVID-19 vaccine uptake have been documented, but it is unclear if similar disparities persist among individuals who previously completed a primary series of monovalent COVID-19 vaccine. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study at Kaiser Permanente Southern California (KPSC) including youth aged 5-17 years and adults aged ≥18 years who were KPSC members and had completed a primary series of monovalent COVID-19 vaccine. Individuals were followed from index date (date of eligibility for bivalent vaccine) to 03/31/2023 to ascertain receipt of any dose of bivalent mRNA COVID-19 vaccine or until disenrollment from KPSC or death. Multivariable robust Poisson regression was conducted to assess the adjusted relative risk and 95 % confidence intervals of factors associated with receipt of bivalent vaccine. RESULTS: The final cohorts included 305,339 youth and 2,534,619 adults, of whom 19.5 % and 30.7 %, respectively, had received bivalent COVID-19 vaccine. Factors associated with being more likely to receive bivalent COVID-19 vaccine included older age, Asian race, more prior year outpatient and virtual visits, Charlson score ≥1, and immunocompromised status. Factors associated with being less likely to receive a bivalent COVID-19 vaccine included age 12-17 vs 5-11 years, Hispanic and non-Hispanic Black race/ethnicity, ≥1 prior year inpatient or emergency department visits, prior history of SARS-CoV-2 infection (adults only), Medicaid insurance, and higher neighborhood deprivation index. CONCLUSION: Even among youth and adults who had previously received a primary series of monovalent COVID-19 vaccine, sociodemographic and clinical disparities were observed in receipt of bivalent COVID-19 vaccine. These findings are critical to inform equitable strategies for the implementation of the updated monovalent COVID-19 vaccine targeting the Omicron XBB strain.

Prior Screening for Latent Tuberculosis Among Patients Diagnosed With Tuberculosis Disease: Missed Opportunities?

Background: California has the largest number of tuberculosis (TB) disease cases in the United States. This study in a large California health system assessed missed opportunities for latent tuberculosis (LTBI) screening among patients with TB disease. Methods: Kaiser Permanente Southern California patients who were ≥18 years old with membership for ≥24 months during the study period from 1 January 2008 to 31 December 2019 were included. Prior LTBI test (tuberculin skin test or interferon-γ release assay) or diagnosis code prior to TB disease diagnosis was assessed among patients with observed TB disease (confirmed by polymerase chain reaction and/or culture). In the absence of current treatment practices, more patients screened for LTBI may have developed TB disease. We estimated hypothetical TB disease cases prevented by multiplying LTBI progression rates by the number of LTBI-positive patients prescribed treatment. Results: A total of 1289 patients with observed TB disease were identified; 148 patients were LTBI positive and 84 were LTBI negative. Patients not prescreened for LTBI made up 82.0% of observed TB disease cases (1057/1289). Adding the hypothetical maximum estimate for prevented cases decreased the percentage of patients who were not prescreened for LTBI to 61.7% [1057/(1289 + 424)]. Conclusions: One-fifth of patients were screened for LTBI prior to their active TB diagnosis. Assuming the upper bound of cases prevented through current screening, almost 62% of TB disease patients were never screened for LTBI. Future work to elucidate gaps in LTBI screening practices and to identify opportunities to improve screening guidelines is needed.

Risk Factors for Not Completing a 2-Dose Primary Series of Messenger RNA COVID-19 Vaccination in a Large Health Care System in Southern California: Retrospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: COVID-19 vaccination is crucial in combating the COVID-19 pandemic. Messenger RNA COVID-19 vaccines were initially authorized as a 2-dose primary series and have been widely used in the United States; completing the 2-dose primary series offers protection against infection, severe illness, and death. Understanding the risk factors for not completing the 2-dose primary series is critical to evaluate COVID-19 vaccination programs and promote completion of the 2-dose primary series. OBJECTIVE: This study examined potential risk factors for not completing a 2-dose primary series of mRNA COVID-19 vaccination. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study among members aged ≥18 years from a large integrated health care system, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, from December 14, 2020, to June 30, 2022. Noncompletion of the 2-dose primary series was defined as not completing the second dose within 6 months after receipt of the first dose. Crude noncompletion rates were estimated overall and by demographic characteristics, health care use patterns, comorbidity, and community-level socioeconomic factors. A Poisson regression model was fit to examine associations of individual-level and community-level risk factors with noncompletion of the 2-dose primary series. RESULTS: Among 2.5 million recipients of ≥1 dose of mRNA COVID-19 vaccines, 3.3% (n=81,202) did not complete the second dose within 6 months. Members aged 25-44 years, 65-74 years, and ≥75 years were less likely to not complete the 2-dose primary series than those aged 18-24 years, while members aged 45-64 years were more likely to not complete the 2-dose primary series (adjusted risk ratio [aRR] 1.13, 95% CI 1.10-1.15). Male sex was associated with a higher risk of noncompletion (aRR 1.17, 95% CI 1.15-1.19). Hispanic and non-Hispanic Black race/ethnicity were associated with a lower risk of noncompletion (range aRR 0.78-0.91). Having Medicaid and prior influenza vaccination were associated with a higher risk of noncompletion. Having SARS-CoV-2 infection, experiencing an adverse event, or having an inpatient and emergency department visit during the minimum recommended dose intervals were associated with a higher risk of not completing the 2-dose primary series (aRR 1.98, 95% CI 1.85-2.12; 1.99, 95% CI 1.43-2.76; and 1.85, 95% CI 1.77-1.93, respectively). Those who received the first dose after June 30, 2021, were more likely to not complete the 2-dose primary series within 6 months of receipt of the first dose. CONCLUSIONS: Despite limitations such as being a single-site study and the inability to consider social factors such as employment and vaccine attitudes, our study identified several risk factors for not completing a 2-dose primary series of mRNA vaccination, including being male; having Medicaid coverage; and experiencing SARS-CoV-2 infection, adverse events, or inpatient and emergency department visits during the minimum recommended dose intervals. These findings can inform future efforts in developing effective strategies to enhance vaccination coverage and improve the completion rate of necessary doses.

Risk of subsequent lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI) after hospitalization for COVID-19 LRTI and non-COVID-19 LRTI: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Respiratory pathogens, including SARS-CoV-2, can cause pulmonary structural damage and physiologic impairment, which may increase the risk of subsequent lower respiratory tract infections (LRTI). Prior hospitalization for any reason is a risk factor for LRTI, but data on the risk of subsequent new-onset LRTI following hospitalization for COVID-19 LRTI or non-COVID-19 LRTI are needed to inform strategies for immunizations targeting respiratory pathogens. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study at Kaiser Permanente Southern California (KPSC) among adults hospitalized from 3/1/2020 to 5/31/2022, excluding labor and delivery. We categorized individuals into 3 mutually exclusive baseline exposure groups: those hospitalized for COVID-19 LRTI, those hospitalized for non-COVID-19 LRTI, and those hospitalized for all other causes without LRTI or COVID-19 ("non-LRTI"). Following hospital discharge, patients were followed up for new-onset LRTI, beginning 30 antibiotic-free days after hospital discharge until 8/31/2022. We used multivariable cause-specific Cox regression with time-varying covariates to estimate hazard ratios (HR) of new-onset LRTI comparing those hospitalized for COVID-19 LRTI or non-COVID-19 LRTI to those hospitalized for non-LRTI, adjusting for demographic and clinical characteristics. RESULTS: The study included 22,417 individuals hospitalized for COVID-19 LRTI, 12,795 individuals hospitalized for non-COVID-19 LRTI, and 176,788 individuals hospitalized for non-LRTI. Individuals hospitalized for non-COVID-19 LRTI were older and had more comorbidities than those hospitalized for COVID-19 LRTI or non-LRTI. Incidence rates per 1,000 person-years (95% CI) of new-onset LRTI were 52.5 (51.4-53.6) among individuals hospitalized for COVID-19 LRTI, 253.5 (243.7-263.6) among those hospitalized for non-COVID-19 LRTI, and 52.5 (51.4-53.6) among those hospitalized for non-LRTI. The adjusted hazard of new-onset LRTI during follow-up was 20% higher among individuals hospitalized for COVID-19 LRTI (HR 1.20 [95% CI: 1.12-1.28]) and 301% higher among individuals hospitalized for non-COVID-19 LRTI (HR 3.01 [95% CI: 2.87-3.15]) compared to those hospitalized for non-LRTI. CONCLUSION: The risk of new-onset LRTI following hospital discharge was high, particularly among those hospitalized for non-COVID-19 LRTI, but also for COVID-19 LRTI. These data suggest that immunizations targeting respiratory pathogens, including COVID-19, should be considered for adults hospitalized for LRTI prior to hospital discharge.

Risky health behaviors and subsequent late mortality after blood or marrow transplantation: a BMTSS report.

We examined the association between risky health behaviors (smoking, heavy alcohol consumption, and lack of vigorous physical activity) and all-cause and cause-specific late mortality after blood or marrow transplantation (BMT) to understand the role played by potentially modifiable risk factors. Study participants were drawn from the BMT Survivor Study (BMTSS) and included patients who received transplantation between 1974 and 2014, had survived ≥2 years after BMT, and were aged ≥18 years at study entry. Survivors provided information on sociodemographic characteristics, chronic health conditions, and health behaviors. National Death Index was used to determine survival and cause of death. Multivariable regression analyses determined the association between risky health behaviors and all-cause mortality (Cox regression) and nonrecurrence-related mortality (NRM; subdistribution hazard regression), after adjusting for relevant sociodemographic, clinical variables and therapeutic exposures. Overall, 3866 participants completed the BMTSS survey and were followed for a median of 5 years to death or 31 December 2021; and 856 participants (22.1%) died after survey completion. Risky health behaviors were associated with increased hazard of all-cause mortality (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] former smoker, 1.2; aHR current smoker, 1.7; reference, nonsmoker; aHR heavy drinker, 1.4; reference, nonheavy drinker; and aHR no vigorous activity, 1.2; reference, vigorous activity) and NRM (aHR former smoker, 1.3; aHR current smoker, 1.6; reference, nonsmoker; aHR heavy drinker, 1.4; reference: nonheavy drinker; and aHR no vigorous activity, 1.2; reference, vigorous activity). The association between potentially modifiable risky health behaviors and late mortality offers opportunities for development of interventions to improve both the quality and quantity of life after BMT.

mRNA-1273 bivalent (original and Omicron) COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness against COVID-19 outcomes in the United States.

The bivalent (original and Omicron BA.4/BA.5) mRNA-1273 COVID-19 vaccine was authorized to offer broader protection against COVID-19. We conducted a matched cohort study to evaluate the effectiveness of the bivalent vaccine in preventing hospitalization for COVID-19 (primary outcome) and medically attended SARS-CoV-2 infection and hospital death (secondary outcomes). Compared to individuals who did not receive bivalent mRNA vaccination but received ≥2 doses of any monovalent mRNA vaccine, the relative vaccine effectiveness (rVE) against hospitalization for COVID-19 was 70.3% (95% confidence interval, 64.0%-75.4%). rVE was consistent across subgroups and not modified by time since last monovalent dose or number of monovalent doses received. Protection was durable ≥3 months after the bivalent booster. rVE against SARS-CoV-2 infection requiring emergency department/urgent care and against COVID-19 hospital death was 55.0% (50.8%-58.8%) and 82.7% (63.7%-91.7%), respectively. The mRNA-1273 bivalent booster provides additional protection against hospitalization for COVID-19, medically attended SARS-CoV-2 infection, and COVID-19 hospital death.

Clinical Risk Scores to Predict Nonsusceptibility to Trimethoprim-Sulfamethoxazole, Fluoroquinolone, Nitrofurantoin, and Third-Generation Cephalosporin Among Adult Outpatient Episodes of Complicated Urinary Tract Infection.

Background: Clinical risk scores were developed to estimate the risk of adult outpatients having a complicated urinary tract infection (cUTI) that was nonsusceptible to trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole (TMP-SMX), fluoroquinolone, nitrofurantoin, or third-generation cephalosporin (3-GC) based on variables available on clinical presentation. Methods: A retrospective cohort study (1 December 2017-31 December 2020) was performed among adult members of Kaiser Permanente Southern California with an outpatient cUTI. Separate risk scores were developed for TMP-SMX, fluoroquinolone, nitrofurantoin, and 3-GC. The models were translated into risk scores to quantify the likelihood of nonsusceptibility based on the presence of final model covariates in a given cUTI outpatient. Results: A total of 30 450 cUTIs (26 326 patients) met the study criteria. Rates of nonsusceptibility to TMP-SMX, fluoroquinolone, nitrofurantoin, and 3-GC were 37%, 20%, 27%, and 24%, respectively. Receipt of prior antibiotics was the most important predictor across all models. The risk of nonsusceptibility in the TMP-SMX model exceeded 20% in the absence of any risk factors, suggesting that empiric use of TMP-SMX may not be advisable. For fluoroquinolone, nitrofurantoin, and 3-GC, clinical risk scores of 10, 7, and 11 predicted a ≥20% estimated probability of nonsusceptibility in the models that included cumulative number of prior antibiotics at model entry. This finding suggests that caution should be used when considering these agents empirically in patients who have several risk factors present in a given model at presentation. Conclusions: We developed high-performing parsimonious risk scores to facilitate empiric treatment selection for adult outpatients with cUTIs in the critical period between infection presentation and availability of susceptibility results.

Multidrug Resistance of Escherichia coli From Outpatient Uncomplicated Urinary Tract Infections in a Large United States Integrated Healthcare Organization.

Background: Urinary tract infections (UTIs) cause significant disease and economic burden. Uncomplicated UTIs (uUTIs) occur in otherwise healthy individuals without underlying structural abnormalities, with uropathogenic Escherichia coli (UPEC) accounting for 80% of cases. With recent transitions in healthcare toward virtual visits, data on multidrug resistance (MDR) (resistant to ≥3 antibiotic classes) by care setting are needed to inform empiric treatment decision making. Methods: We evaluated UPEC resistance over time by care setting (in-person vs virtual), in adults who received outpatient care for uUTI at Kaiser Permanente Southern California between January 2016 and December 2021. Results: We included 174 185 individuals who had ≥1 UPEC uUTI (233 974 isolates) (92% female, 46% Hispanic, mean age 52 years [standard deviation 20]). Overall, prevalence of UPEC MDR decreased during the study period (13% to 12%) both in virtual and in-person settings (P for trend <.001). Resistance to penicillins overall (29%), coresistance to penicillins and trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole (TMP-SMX) (12%), and MDR involving the 2 plus ≥1 antibiotic class were common (10%). Resistance to 1, 2, 3, and 4 antibiotic classes was found in 19%, 18%, 8%, and 4% of isolates, respectively; 1% were resistant to ≥5 antibiotic classes, and 50% were resistant to none. Similar resistance patterns were observed over time and by care setting. Conclusions: We observed a slight decrease in both class-specific antimicrobial resistance and MDR of UPEC overall, most commonly involving penicillins and TMP-SMX. Resistance patterns were consistent over time and similar in both in-person and virtual settings. Virtual healthcare may expand access to UTI care.

Latent Tuberculosis Infection Treatment Practices in Two Large Integrated Health Systems in California, 2009-2018.

Background: Treatment of latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI) is highly effective at preventing active tuberculosis (TB) disease. Understanding LTBI treatment practices in US health system settings is critical to identify opportunities to improve treatment prescription, initiation, and completion, and thus to prevent TB disease. Methods: We assessed LTBI treatment practices among a cohort of adults after their first positive LTBI test (tuberculin skin test [TST] or interferon gamma release assay [IGRA]) between 2009 and 2018 at 2 large integrated health systems in California. We described the prescription, initiation, and completion of LTBI treatment (isoniazid [INH], rifampin, and rifamycin-INH short-course combinations) by demographic and clinical characteristics. We used multivariable robust Poisson regression to examine factors that were independently associated with treatment prescription and completion. Results: Among 79 302 individuals with a positive LTBI test, 33.0% were prescribed LTBI treatment, 28.3% initiated treatment, and 18.5% completed treatment. Most individuals were prescribed INH (82.0%), but treatment completion was higher among those prescribed rifamycin-INH short-course combinations (69.6% for INH + rifapentine and 70.3% for INH + rifampin) compared with those prescribed INH (56.3%) or rifampin (56.6%). In adjusted analyses, treatment prescription and completion were associated with older age, female sex, more comorbidities, immunosuppression, not being born in a high-TB incidence country, and testing positive with IGRA vs TST. Conclusions: LTBI treatment is underutilized, requiring tailored interventions to support treatment prescription and completion for patients with LTBI.

Post-licensure safety study of new-onset immune-mediated diseases, herpes zoster, and anaphylaxis in adult recipients of HepB-CpG vaccine versus HepB-alum vaccine.

BACKGROUND: HepB-CpG (Heplisav-B) is a licensed hepatitis B vaccine with a novel adjuvant that requires 2 doses (0, 1 month) compared to HepB-alum (Engerix-B) which requires 3 doses (0, 1, 6 months). Monitoring safety outcomes following receipt of vaccines with novel adjuvants outside trial settings is important. Hence, as part of a post-marketing commitment, we compared the incidence of new-onset immune-mediated diseases, herpes zoster (HZ), and anaphylaxis among recipients of HepB-CpG versus HepB-alum. METHODS: This cohort study included adults not on dialysis who received ≥1 dose of hepatitis B vaccine from 8/7/2018 to 10/31/2019, during which HepB-CpG was routinely administered in 7 of 15 Kaiser Permanente Southern California medical centers while HepB-alum was administered in the other 8 centers. Recipients of HepB-CpG or HepB-alum were followed through electronic health records for 13 months for occurrence of pre-specified new-onset immune-mediated diseases, HZ, and anaphylaxis identified using diagnosis codes. Incidence rates were compared using Poisson regression with inverse probability of treatment weighting when there was ≥80 % power to detect a relative risk (RR) of 5 for anaphylaxis and RR of 3 for other outcomes. Chart review to confirm new-onset diagnosis was conducted for outcomes with statistically significant elevated risk. RESULTS: There were 31,183 HepB-CpG and 38,442 HepB-alum recipients (overall 49.0 % female, 48.5 % age ≥50 years, and 49.6 % Hispanic). Among immune-mediated events that occurred frequently enough for formal comparison, rates among HepB-CpG versus Hep-B-alum recipients were similar except for rheumatoid arthritis (RA) (adjusted RR 1.53 [95 % CI: 1.07, 2.18]). After chart confirmation of new-onset RA, the adjusted RR was 0.93 (0.34, 2.49). The adjusted RR for HZ was 1.06 (0.89, 1.27). Anaphylaxis occurred in 0 HepB-CpG and 2 HepB-alum recipients. CONCLUSIONS: This large post-licensure study did not identify evidence of safety concerns for HepB-CpG compared to HepB-alum for immune-mediated diseases, HZ, or anaphylaxis.

Burden of Lower Respiratory Tract Infections Preventable by Adult Immunization With 15- and 20-Valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccines in the United States.

BACKGROUND: Updated recommendations of the US Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices indicate that all adults aged ≥65 years and adults aged <65 years with comorbid conditions should receive 15- and 20-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCV15/20). We aimed to assess the potential impact of these recommendations on the burden of lower respiratory tract infections (LRTIs) among adults. METHODS: We estimated the incidence of LRTI cases and associated hospital admissions among enrollees of Kaiser Permanente Southern California from 2016 through 2019. We used a counterfactual inference framework to estimate excess LRTI-associated risk of death up to 180 days after diagnosis. We used prior estimates of PCV13 effectiveness against LRTI to model potential direct effects of PCV15/20 by age group and risk status. RESULTS: Use of PCV15 and PCV20, respectively, could prevent 89.3 (95% confidence interval, 41.3-131.8) and 108.6 (50.4-159.1) medically attended LRTI cases; 21.9 (10.1-32.0) and 26.6 (12.4-38.7) hospitalized LRTI cases; and 7.1 (3.3-10.5) and 8.7 (4.0-12.7) excess LRTI-associated deaths, each per 10 000 person-years. Among at-risk adults aged <65 years, use of PCV15 and PCV20 could prevent 85.7 (39.6-131.5) and 102.7 (47.8-156.7) medically attended LRTI cases per 10 000 person-years; 5.1 (2.4-8.6) and 6.2 (2.8-10.2) LRTI hospitalizations per 10 000 person-years, and 0.9 (0.4-1.4) and 1.1 (0.5-1.7) excess LRTI-associated deaths per 10 000 person-years. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest recent recommendations, including PCV15/20 within adult pneumococcal vaccine series, may substantially reduce LRTI burden.

Effectiveness of a fourth dose of mRNA-1273 against COVID-19 among older adults in the United States: Interim results from an observational cohort study.

We evaluated relative vaccine effectiveness (rVE) of 4- vs. 3-dose mRNA-1273 against SARS-CoV-2 infection, and COVID-19 hospitalization and death in immunocompetent adults aged ≥50 years at Kaiser Permanente Southern California. We included 178,492 individuals who received a fourth dose of mRNA-1273, and 178,492 randomly selected 3-dose recipients who were matched to 4-dose recipients by age, sex, race/ethnicity, and third dose date. Adjusted 4- vs. 3-dose rVE against SARS-CoV-2 infection, COVID-19 hospitalization, and COVID-19 hospitalization death were 25.9 % (23.5 %, 28.2 %), 67.3 % (58.7 %, 74.1 %), and 72.5 % (-35.9 %, 95.2 %), respectively. Adjusted rVE against SARS-CoV-2 infection ranged between 19.8 % and 39.1 % across subgroups. Adjusted rVE against SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID-19 hospitalization decreased 2-4 months after the fourth dose. Four mRNA-1273 doses provided significant protection against COVID-19 outcomes compared with 3 doses, consistent in various subgroups of demographic and clinical characteristics, although rVE varied and waned over time.

Vaccine effectiveness of the mRNA-1273 3-dose primary series against COVID-19 in an immunocompromised population: A prospective observational cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Data on the effectiveness of the 3-dose mRNA-1273 primary series are limited, particularly in comparison to 2 doses. Given suboptimal COVID-19 vaccine uptake among immunocompromised populations, it is important to monitor the effectiveness of fewer than the recommended doses in this population. METHODS: We conducted a matched cohort study at Kaiser Permanente Southern California to evaluate the relative vaccine effectiveness (rVE) of the 3-dose series vs 2 doses of mRNA-1273 in preventing SARS-CoV-2 infection and severe COVID-19 outcomes among immunocompromised individuals. RESULTS: We included 21,942 3-dose recipients who were 1:1 matched with randomly selected 2-dose recipients (third doses accrued 08/12/2021-12/31/2021, with follow-up through 01/31/2022). Adjusted rVE of 3 vs 2 doses of mRNA-1273 against SARS-CoV-2 infection, COVID-19 hospitalization, and COVID-19 hospital death were 55.0 % (95 % CI: 50.8-58.9 %), 83.0 % (75.4-88.3 %), and 87.1 % (30.6-97.6 %), respectively. CONCLUSION: Three doses of mRNA-1273 were associated with a significantly higher rVE against SARS-CoV-2 infection and severe outcomes, compared to 2 doses. These findings were consistent across subgroups of demographic and clinical characteristics, and mostly consistent across subgroups of immunocompromising conditions. Our study highlights the importance of completing the 3-dose series for immunocompromised populations.

Impact of California's Senate Bill 27 on Antimicrobial-Resistant Escherichia coli Urinary Tract Infection in Humans: Protocol for a Study of Methods and Baseline Data.

BACKGROUND: Overuse of antibiotics contributes to antimicrobial resistance (AMR) and is a growing threat to human health worldwide. Previous work suggests a link between antimicrobial use in poultry and human AMR extraintestinal pathogenic Escherichia coli (E coli) urinary tract infections (UTIs). However, few US-based studies exist, and none have comprehensively assessed both foodborne and environmental pathways using advanced molecular and spatial epidemiologic methods in a quasi-experimental design. Recently, California enacted Senate Bill 27 (SB27), which changed previous policy to require a veterinarian's prescription for the use of antibiotic drugs, and which banned antibiotic use for disease prevention in livestock. This provided an opportunity to evaluate whether SB27 will result in a reduction in antimicrobial-resistant infections in humans. OBJECTIVE: We describe in detail the methods implemented to achieve the overarching objective of this study to evaluate the impact of SB27 on downstream antibiotic resistance rates in human UTIs. METHODS: A summary of the overall approach and the partnerships between Columbia University, George Washington University (GWU), Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Kaiser Permanente Southern California (KPSC) Research and Evaluation, the Natural Resources Defense Council, Sanger Institute at Stanford University, Sutter Health Center for Health Systems Research, the University of Cambridge, and the University of Oxford is presented. The collection, quality control testing, and shipment of retail meat and clinical samples are described. Retail meat (chicken, beef, turkey, and pork) was purchased from stores throughout Southern California from 2017 to 2021. After processing at KPSC, it was shipped to GWU for testing. From 2016 to 2021, after clinical specimens were processed for routine clinical purposes and immediately before discarding, those with isolated colonies of E coli, Campylobacter, and Salmonella from KPSC members were collected and processed to be shipped for testing at GWU. Detailed methods of the isolation and testing as well as the whole-genome sequencing of the meat and clinical samples at GWU are described. KPSC electronic health record data were used to track UTI cases and AMR patterns among the cultured specimens. Similarly, Sutter Health electronic health record data were used to track UTI cases in its Northern California patient population. RESULTS: From 2017 to 2021, overall, 12,616 retail meat samples were purchased from 472 unique stores across Southern California. In addition, 31,643 positive clinical cultures were collected from KPSC members during the same study period. CONCLUSIONS: Here, we presented data collection methods for the study, which was conducted to evaluate the impact of SB27 on downstream antibiotic resistance rates in human UTI. To date, it is one of the largest studies of its kind to be conducted. The data collected during this study will be used as the foundation for future analyses specific to the various objectives of this large body of work. INTERNATIONAL REGISTERED REPORT IDENTIFIER (IRRID): DERR1-10.2196/45109.

Effectiveness of mRNA-1273 vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 omicron subvariants BA.1, BA.2, BA.2.12.1, BA.4, and BA.5.

Studies have reported reduced natural SARS-CoV-2 infection- and vaccine-induced neutralization against omicron BA.4/BA.5 compared with earlier omicron subvariants. This test-negative case-control study evaluates mRNA-1273 vaccine effectiveness (VE) against infection and hospitalization with omicron subvariants. The study includes 30,809 SARS-CoV-2 positive and 92,427 SARS-CoV-2 negative individuals aged ≥18 years tested during 1/1/2022-6/30/2022. While 3-dose VE against BA.1 infection is high and wanes slowly, VE against BA.2, BA.2.12.1, BA.4, and BA.5 infection is initially moderate to high (61.0%-90.6% 14-30 days post third dose) and wanes rapidly. The 4-dose VE against infection with BA.2, BA.2.12.1, and BA.4 ranges between 64.3%-75.7%, and is low (30.8%) against BA.5 14-30 days post fourth dose, disappearing beyond 90 days for all subvariants. The 3-dose VE against hospitalization for BA.1, BA.2, and BA.4/BA.5 is 97.5%, 82.0%, and 72.4%, respectively; 4-dose VE against hospitalization for BA.4/BA.5 is 88.5%. Evaluation of the updated bivalent booster is warranted.

Effectiveness of Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccination Against Virus-Associated Lower Respiratory Tract Infection Among Adults: A Case-Control Study.

BACKGROUND: Interactions of Streptococcus pneumoniae with viruses feature in the pathogenesis of numerous respiratory illnesses. METHODS: We undertook a case-control study among adults at Kaiser Permanente Southern California between 2015 and 2019. Case patients had diagnoses of lower respiratory tract infection (LRTI; including pneumonia or nonpneumonia LRTI diagnoses), with viral infections detected by multiplex polymerase chain reaction testing. Controls without LRTI diagnoses were matched to case patients by demographic and clinical attributes. We measured vaccine effectiveness (VE) for 13-valent (PCV13) against virus-associated LRTI by determining the adjusted odds ratio for PCV13 receipt, comparing case patients and controls. RESULTS: Primary analyses included 13 856 case patients with virus-associated LRTI and 227 887 matched controls. Receipt of PCV13 was associated with a VE of 24.9% (95% confidence interval, 18.4%-30.9%) against virus-associated pneumonia and 21.5% (10.9%-30.9%) against other (nonpneumonia) virus-associated LRTIs. We estimated VEs of 26.8% (95% confidence interval, 19.9%-33.1%) and 18.6% (9.3%-27.0%) against all virus-associated LRTI episodes diagnosed in inpatient and outpatient settings, respectively. We identified statistically significant protection against LRTI episodes associated with influenza A and B viruses, endemic human coronaviruses, parainfluenza viruses, human metapneumovirus, and enteroviruses but not respiratory syncytial virus or adenoviruses. CONCLUSIONS: Among adults, PCV13 conferred moderate protection against virus-associated LRTI. The impacts of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines may be mediated, in part, by effects on polymicrobial interactions between pneumococci and respiratory viruses.